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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.88vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.43+0.92vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-0.46+1.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.17+1.13vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.46-0.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.27+0.89vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.46-3.05vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-1.77-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88SUNY Maritime College-0.0227.2%1st Place
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2.92Columbia University0.4324.9%1st Place
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4.05Stevens Institute of Technology-0.4611.9%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.176.6%1st Place
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4.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.4611.5%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Military Academy-2.271.7%1st Place
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3.95Unknown School-0.4612.3%1st Place
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6.11Webb Institute-1.774.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 27.2% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 24.9% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Niall Powers Ozyurt | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Alden Hughes | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 9.7% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 54.4% |
| Patrice Masterson | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Sophia Tolkacheva | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 29.9% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.