← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+0.87vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University2.74+1.04vs Predicted
-
3California State University Monterey Bay2.30+0.52vs Predicted
-
4Santa Clara University2.74-0.96vs Predicted
-
5California State University Monterey Bay2.30-1.48vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-3.10vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-4.10vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis2.13-4.32vs Predicted
-
9Santa Clara University2.74-5.96vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis2.13-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.5%1st Place
-
3.04Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
-
3.52California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
-
3.04Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
-
3.52California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
-
2.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.2%1st Place
-
2.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.2%1st Place
-
3.68University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
-
3.04Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
-
3.68University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 48.7% | 26.6% | 16.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 14.2% | 22.3% | 26.2% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 25.7% | 30.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 14.2% | 22.3% | 26.2% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 25.7% | 30.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 17.3% | 23.1% | 25.2% | 21.1% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 17.3% | 23.1% | 25.2% | 21.1% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 9.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 26.6% | 36.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 14.2% | 22.3% | 26.2% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 9.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 26.6% | 36.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.