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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.49+10.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+2.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+4.19vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.71vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-0.09vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.25-2.82vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.55-1.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-1.92vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-1.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.01-2.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.22-0.85vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.4Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University1.998.9%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University2.1710.5%1st Place
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5.47Boston College2.0912.8%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island0.994.8%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University1.978.9%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.108.1%1st Place
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5.18Yale University2.2513.4%1st Place
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7.94Brown University1.555.2%1st Place
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8.08Northeastern University1.226.2%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College1.134.2%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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13.15University of New Hampshire-0.221.4%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 15.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 40.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.