Race 12A

pccsc-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sean Kelly 19.6% 19.0% 17.4% 14.1% 11.1% 9.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Judge Ryan 17.7% 16.4% 16.7% 14.4% 12.3% 10.0% 6.5% 3.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Stephen Lue 10.1% 10.8% 10.9% 11.3% 15.6% 13.4% 12.1% 8.9% 5.0% 1.9%
Mateo Vargas 22.2% 20.2% 15.8% 16.1% 10.6% 7.3% 4.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Cody Shevitz 6.7% 6.8% 8.4% 7.0% 10.5% 13.3% 13.5% 14.8% 13.1% 5.9%
Brandon Wood 5.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 11.6% 11.4% 16.5% 16.7% 15.2%
Thomas Maher 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 5.2% 5.3% 6.4% 9.2% 15.3% 21.7% 30.0%
Jack Porter 7.0% 9.8% 10.5% 9.7% 11.6% 12.1% 15.0% 11.0% 8.9% 4.4%
Craig Schifferns 7.4% 7.6% 9.4% 11.7% 11.0% 11.5% 14.6% 12.9% 10.1% 3.8%
John Olson 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.9% 5.1% 5.4% 8.6% 11.5% 19.9% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.