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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+9.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+7.91vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+5.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+3.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+0.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.78vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09+0.28vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.55+1.68vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-2.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-0.40vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-4.61vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.67vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.66-4.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.06vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.65-5.64vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.41-2.04vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.80-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.91Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.68Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| JC Hermus | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| David Eastwood | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 45.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.