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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+7.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+7.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+7.64vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+4.51vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+2.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.55+3.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.00vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-3.14vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.58vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-3.83vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.54-0.90vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.66-4.05vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.41-0.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.96vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.65-6.54vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.83-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.88College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.71Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.1Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Brandon Geller | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| JC Hermus | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Lilly Myers | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 43.9% |
| David Eastwood | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.