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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+9.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+6.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+5.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.78vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.65+4.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66+1.91vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.15vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54+0.79vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.80-1.40vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.55-1.16vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.86vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.41+0.41vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-6.97vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-6.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.32vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.50-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.79Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.6College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.47Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| JC Hermus | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Lilly Myers | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 39.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| David Eastwood | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.