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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+8.76vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+6.52vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+4.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+3.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+1.11vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.80+1.32vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54+1.49vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.01-1.27vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.97vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-1.64vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-6.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-4.60vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.65-5.03vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.50-5.24vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.41-2.18vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.55-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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10.49Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.73Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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10.76Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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10.26Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| JC Hermus | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Lilly Myers | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| David Eastwood | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| James Paul | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 43.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.