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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+7.30vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+8.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.80+6.79vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.65+5.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.71+3.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+2.57vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00+0.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.27vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-4.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.90vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.04vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-3.62vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.01-6.39vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.42-8.94vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.55-6.16vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.41-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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9.79College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.38Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| JC Hermus | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| David Eastwood | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Lilly Myers | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.