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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+8.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.56vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.83+0.94vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27+1.30vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-1.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.49-1.50vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.94+3.27vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.35-4.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.91vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.48-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.09-5.85vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.07-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.21Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.64Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.8Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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15.27Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Gray Benson | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Matthew King | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 44.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| John Ped | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Max Anker | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 20.6% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.