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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+6.97vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+6.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.07+5.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.41vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.35-1.66vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.69-4.64vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.48-4.90vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.94-0.06vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.49-6.62vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.27-6.56vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.09-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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14.66University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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8.36Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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14.94Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 20.7% | 31.8% |
| John Ped | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Max Anker | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew King | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 39.3% |
| Gray Benson | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.