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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+5.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine3.43+0.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05-2.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.54+2.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.27vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.36-1.54vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.57-2.77vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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2.86Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.46Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.94California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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8.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Adam Pokras | 17.4% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 29.2% | 24.4% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 29.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 25.6% |
| Erik Lund | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.