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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+7.60vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+5.33vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+5.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+1.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.25-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.49+3.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.52vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-3.00vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.22+2.25vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.17-6.13vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.55-5.06vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-4.30vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.01-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Boston College2.0911.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University1.226.2%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College1.135.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University1.999.0%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.2514.2%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University1.9710.0%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College2.108.6%1st Place
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13.25University of New Hampshire-0.220.7%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.1710.6%1st Place
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7.94Brown University1.555.5%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University0.934.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.012.9%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marykate Hanus | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 39.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.