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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+6.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.03vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+4.23vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.90vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.48+3.33vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+2.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.07vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-2.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.83-1.86vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.30+2.67vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65+0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.35-3.34vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.04-7.23vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-4.90vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.00+0.62vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.81-8.90vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.59Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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12.82Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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16.62University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| John Ped | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Max Anker | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 25.8% | 11.8% |
| Emily Allen | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 12.4% | 67.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.