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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+6.22vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.46vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.35+7.08vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+2.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.30+7.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.78vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.91vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-1.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.00+5.58vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-3.23vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65-0.64vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.96vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.48-5.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-6.10vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.38-7.13vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.27-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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13.72University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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16.58University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
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8.77Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.36Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.21College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 24.4% | 15.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 67.8% |
| Bridget Green | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 7.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Anker | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.