← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+5.87vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.83+4.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.35+5.42vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+4.36vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.37vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.82+0.82vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.07-2.33vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.17+0.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin1.30+2.25vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami1.24+1.48vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.89-5.58vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.65-1.84vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston2.48-6.01vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.20-6.03vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-5.48vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan0.00-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.49Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.36Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.82Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.67Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.3U. S. Naval Academy2.170.0%1st Place
-
12.25University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
-
12.48University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
-
6.42Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
11.16Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.99College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
-
8.97Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
10.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.0%1st Place
-
15.49University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Carraway | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louis Margay | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 8.8% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 24.0% | 11.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Max Anker | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.