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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+6.59vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+8.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+6.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+6.72vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+4.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+0.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.63+4.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.11vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-1.00vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.26vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61+0.63vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.47-3.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.63vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.57-2.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.80-4.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-5.34vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-7.38vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.38-10.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.33Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.42Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.9Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.38Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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5.89Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.0Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.63Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.62Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 13.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.