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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+6.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.99vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+6.46vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+5.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.42vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+4.66vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.63+4.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80+2.60vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57+1.93vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.93vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.38-3.45vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-3.01vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-4.87vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.13vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.59-8.60vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.61-5.36vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.42-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.38Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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5.87Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.93Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.99Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.87Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.64Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.