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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.82vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+6.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.01+6.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+2.91vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.63vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-0.73vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.25-2.93vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.89vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-3.88vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.49-0.53vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.13-3.95vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.22-1.71vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.93-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Harvard University2.1711.3%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University1.014.3%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.8%1st Place
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7.91Brown University1.555.5%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University1.979.6%1st Place
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6.27Brown University1.999.5%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.2513.4%1st Place
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5.67Boston College2.0912.2%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island0.995.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College2.107.0%1st Place
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11.47Roger Williams University0.492.3%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College1.134.2%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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13.29University of New Hampshire-0.221.2%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 16.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 40.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.