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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+2.07vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+5.33vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.09vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.57+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles2.63-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.54-1.67vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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8.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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2.98Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.42Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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6.68California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 18.2% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erik Lund | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 25.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 27.1% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 23.5% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 27.4% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.