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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+7.29vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+8.33vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+4.53vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+5.57vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+3.39vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+3.67vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.09vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57+1.86vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-1.65vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.09vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-5.29vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.63-2.91vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-3.55vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.69-9.02vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.96vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.33Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.1Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.0%1st Place
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11.86Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.09Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.98Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% |
| JC Hermus | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.