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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+7.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+9.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+5.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+5.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+3.46vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+3.61vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.59-0.71vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.38-0.93vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-2.82vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-4.92vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-1.54vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-1.51vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.40vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.15vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.63-4.48vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.80-6.18vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.09Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.29Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.46Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.49Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.85Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.52Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.