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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+7.43vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+6.05vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+5.27vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+3.26vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+4.99vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+3.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+2.44vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+2.70vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-0.21vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.69-3.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.08vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-3.94vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.63-2.95vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.12vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-6.75vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.82-6.22vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.27Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.26Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.99Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.7Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.79Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.05Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 16.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.