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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+7.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+5.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+8.84vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.98vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+4.99vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+4.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+2.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-0.03vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.38-0.90vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.48vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.92vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.59-4.28vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.63-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-3.67vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.84-4.49vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.61-4.43vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-7.41vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.57-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.99Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.1Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.72Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.54Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| JC Hermus | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.