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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+7.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+5.14vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+7.39vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+4.15vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+5.61vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.27vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+4.65vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09+1.41vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.59-1.76vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71+1.40vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-4.86vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-3.55vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.15vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.63-2.84vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.84-4.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-5.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.28vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.15-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.14Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.39Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.15Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.65Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.24Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.16Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.