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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.26vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+9.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+4.15vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+3.73vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59+2.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+2.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+2.23vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+1.18vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09+0.47vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94+0.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-0.34vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-0.92vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-2.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-3.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.49vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.38-7.71vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.90vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.63-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.96Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.36Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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10.42Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.21Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.7% |
| JC Hermus | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.