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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+6.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+4.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+6.91vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+5.07vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+4.71vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.59+0.34vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+3.56vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80+0.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.69vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.63-0.21vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-3.94vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.38-6.10vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.08vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-6.49vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.47-9.03vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.15-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.3Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.07Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.56Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.79Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.