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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+7.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.10vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+8.99vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+5.32vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.69+1.94vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.59+1.32vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94+3.05vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82+2.56vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71+2.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.51vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-2.82vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.15-2.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-2.40vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.38vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.47-7.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.35vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.63-5.43vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.99Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.05Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.57Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.