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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+7.07vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+8.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.71+8.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.63+6.16vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.38+0.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+2.56vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.59-2.57vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.82-0.46vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-1.67vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-4.11vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-3.77vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-5.78vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.93-10.10vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-5.87vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.79Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.75Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.16Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.56Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.43Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.54Dartmouth College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.33Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.13Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.