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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+6.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+4.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.95vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+5.80vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+5.38vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+3.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+4.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-0.15vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82+1.46vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69+1.28vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-1.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-0.70vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.38-5.13vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.58vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.63-3.78vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.55vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-7.82vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.80-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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6.96Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.8Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.54Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.46Dartmouth College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.28Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.48Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.22Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% |
| William Michels | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.