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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+5.92vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+1.58vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+2.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.57+2.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.22vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.36-1.57vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine3.43-7.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.54-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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3.01Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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6.07University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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8.31University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.43Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 19.0% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 25.6% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 26.3% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Erik Lund | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 25.6% |
| Rex Cameron | 17.1% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.