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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+5.32vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+6.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+4.12vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97+1.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.25-0.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.74vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+1.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-1.29vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-6.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.01-3.58vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.13-5.03vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.22-1.88vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.49-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Brown University1.999.2%1st Place
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8.37Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.107.6%1st Place
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8.12Brown University1.555.0%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University1.979.0%1st Place
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5.02Yale University2.2514.9%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.4%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University2.1710.8%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University0.933.7%1st Place
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5.47Boston College2.0912.8%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University1.013.7%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College1.134.7%1st Place
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13.12University of New Hampshire-0.221.3%1st Place
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11.35Roger Williams University0.493.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 14.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 41.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.