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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+6.51vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.89vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+7.27vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.63+7.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+0.91vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.38+2.02vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+3.48vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-1.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-1.15vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.15-0.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.50vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.79vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-2.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-3.35vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.95vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.57-4.38vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.00-7.05vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.36-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.27Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.76Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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10.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.62Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.