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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+6.45vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+7.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+5.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.84vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.63+6.17vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.15vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71+2.84vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+2.61vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.38-1.64vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36+0.71vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-2.66vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.00-4.57vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.25vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-5.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.55vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.69-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.39Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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8.15Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.17Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.61Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.15Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.34Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.88Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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6.63Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 20.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.