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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+6.50vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+8.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+5.14vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.63+7.18vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+5.46vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+5.66vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+4.28vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-2.26vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-0.62vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.38-4.97vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.15-5.17vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.93-9.12vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-6.56vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.00vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.25Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.14Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.18Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.66Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.74Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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11.38Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.83Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 13.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.7% |
| JC Hermus | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.