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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.12vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+8.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+6.57vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.63+7.21vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38+3.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+1.76vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-0.18vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+2.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+2.57vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-1.80vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71+0.16vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.47vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-4.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-3.78vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.22vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.59-8.66vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-4.44vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.28Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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11.21Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| JC Hermus | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 18.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.