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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+9.76vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+6.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.83+6.47vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.23+7.62vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+2.47vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.07vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.67vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.16+3.97vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-1.13vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.54-3.56vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-0.02vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.01-3.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-6.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-5.62vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-7.46vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-4.50vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.04-9.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.76Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.99Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.830.0%1st Place
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11.62Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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11.97Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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12.5Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Scott Mais | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 13.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 15.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| Jack Egan | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 18.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.