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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+7.46vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+5.68vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+5.57vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+2.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.53vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99+1.48vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.94vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45+1.84vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.83-0.57vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.16+1.18vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.95vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.93-4.43vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.80-5.02vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.23-3.31vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-5.35vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.23-9.40vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.07-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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12.18Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.69Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.21Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Scott Mais | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.