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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+7.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+4.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+4.09vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+3.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.83+1.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+1.51vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45+1.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-3.45vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.06vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.23-1.47vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-6.38vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-1.32vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.93-7.29vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.90vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.16-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.51Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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11.53Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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13.68Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.71Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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12.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.76Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% |
| Jack Egan | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 27.9% |
| Scott Mais | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.