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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+5.45vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+6.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+5.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.69+9.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+5.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.36vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.23+3.57vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-1.65vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.93-1.06vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-3.39vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.67vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.99-5.86vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.16-3.05vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-5.18vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.83-7.68vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.50-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.03Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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13.45Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.57Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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8.61Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.14Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.29Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Jack Egan | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 27.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Scott Mais | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.