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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+7.62vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+5.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+4.81vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+5.68vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70+4.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.58vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12+1.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.37vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.01-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-2.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-1.52vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.54-5.35vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.99-4.56vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-0.43vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-4.11vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-3.76vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.50-6.18vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.73Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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13.57Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.89Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.82Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Jack Egan | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 27.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.