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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+9.81vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+8.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+5.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+5.18vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+1.32vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+3.80vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+1.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.35vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.99-0.45vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45+1.21vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-2.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.06vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69+0.65vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-6.66vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.92vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-3.80vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.23-9.24vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.22-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.81Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.12Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.59Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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13.65Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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12.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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12.2Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 29.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.