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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.57+7.46vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+3.86vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.050.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.59vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine3.43-1.85vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.68-3.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles2.63-2.22vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.54-1.71vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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3.0Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.53Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.88California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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8.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Nguyen | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 26.7% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 24.7% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| Rex Cameron | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Adam Pokras | 21.4% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 28.5% |
| Erik Lund | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.