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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.89vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+6.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+3.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+1.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+2.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.41vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.22vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93+0.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.01-0.61vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-1.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-2.13vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.55-5.15vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-2.55vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.97-8.43vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Harvard University2.1711.8%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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6.23Brown University1.999.8%1st Place
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5.14Yale University2.2513.6%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.107.2%1st Place
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5.58Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island0.994.8%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College1.134.3%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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7.85Brown University1.556.2%1st Place
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11.45Roger Williams University0.492.4%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University1.978.3%1st Place
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13.13University of New Hampshire-0.221.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.