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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+9.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+10.82vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+4.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.40vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+3.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.68vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+1.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12+0.02vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+1.80vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.83-0.31vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-0.96vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.46-0.67vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-0.92vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.09vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.54-8.68vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-7.25vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.16vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.23-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.08Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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12.82Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.02Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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12.08Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Micky Munns | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 18.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Jack Egan | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Walter Henry | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.