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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+6.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+4.45vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+7.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+3.52vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.95vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.58vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.70+2.79vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04+0.25vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.07-0.84vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-1.51vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.28vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.46-2.26vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-4.57vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-2.61vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.83-6.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-4.77vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.16Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy2.800.0%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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12.39Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.830.0%1st Place
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12.23Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Egan | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Walter Henry | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Micky Munns | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 16.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.