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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+6.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+6.16vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+7.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+4.28vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.97vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.07+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23+0.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.54-1.74vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+1.68vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.22-2.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-1.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.19vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-0.74vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-3.45vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.32vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.07-7.74vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-4.73vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.16Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.09Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.21Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.68Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.26Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.27Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 16.6% |
| Walter Henry | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.