← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.83+8.63vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+10.56vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.70+7.20vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.45vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.89+4.07vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.07+2.40vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.22+0.75vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.12+0.10vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.50+1.85vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.50+1.12vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.16vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.23-3.91vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.23-5.38vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.01-5.74vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.07-2.42vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.54-9.47vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College2.45-5.78vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.63Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
12.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
-
10.2Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.45U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
9.07Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.4Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.75Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.1Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.85Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.12Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.09University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.62Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.26Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
12.58Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.53Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
11.22Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 18.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 20.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.