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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+8.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+4.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+5.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+4.11vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.22+2.70vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.50+3.84vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.20vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70+0.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+2.86vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-1.41vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-2.42vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.07-4.78vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-4.56vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-3.98vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.23-8.18vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.50-6.01vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.96Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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12.86Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.58Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 17.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 21.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.