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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+9.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+7.73vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+8.39vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+4.50vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.22+2.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.70vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+5.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89+1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-1.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50+1.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-3.16vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-1.62vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-2.32vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.07-5.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.80-5.46vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.64vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.54-10.39vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.12-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.830.0%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.62Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.06Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.08Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.38Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.05Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Carraway | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% |
| Micky Munns | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 17.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.