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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+6.98vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+9.16vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+7.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+5.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+2.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12+1.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.67vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.07-0.72vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.01-1.10vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50-0.03vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-3.95vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.58vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-3.25vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.72vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-3.29vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.89-7.61vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.70-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.16Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.16Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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12.71Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.39Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.74Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.8% |
| Micky Munns | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 20.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.