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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+7.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+7.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+4.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+3.96vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+2.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.46+2.87vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+3.54vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50+1.05vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-2.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-3.22vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.71vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.18vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.50-4.31vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-6.12vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.22-9.22vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.23-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University2.830.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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12.54Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.05Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.78Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.73Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Walter Henry | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Micky Munns | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 15.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.