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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+7.31vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+9.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.85vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.23+7.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+4.29vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.36vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-0.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.19vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+2.77vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46+0.06vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-0.86vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.22-5.46vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-4.53vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.04-6.67vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-7.27vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.01-8.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.80-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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11.75Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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12.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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12.77Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.14Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.54Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.73Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.76Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 18.9% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.