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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+5.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.25+2.09vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+5.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+4.19vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+0.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.55+1.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.33vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.28vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-4.19vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.35vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-2.25vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.70vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.01-4.53vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-3.76vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Boston College2.0911.9%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College2.107.9%1st Place
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5.09Yale University2.2513.6%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College1.134.7%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University1.999.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University1.555.1%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University1.978.0%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.1712.4%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.3%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.014.3%1st Place
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11.24Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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13.13University of New Hampshire-0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 15.9% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.