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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles2.63+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.57+3.27vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.640.00vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-0.58vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.54-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine3.43-6.99vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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8.27University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.42Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.74California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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8.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 27.1% | 21.9% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Adam Pokras | 17.0% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 26.1% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 28.7% |
| Rex Cameron | 16.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Erik Lund | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.