← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.70+5.42vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.08vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.75+3.20vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.07+0.91vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.03+3.73vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.24+5.92vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.20+1.10vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.91+1.20vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.44+2.16vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.62vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.71vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.28vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.77-3.30vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University1.65-4.03vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.52-4.21vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.11-7.44vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University1.01-4.15vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.42Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.08U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.2Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
4.91Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
8.73Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
11.92University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
-
8.1Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
9.2Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
11.16Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
12.71University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
-
10.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.7Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
9.97North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
-
10.79Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
-
12.85Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
-
15.6SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 11.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.8% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.